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If you want to protect yourself from it, get a high-mileage car. Volatility is always an issue. It's just a part of the environment. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

If you want to protect yourself from it, get a high-mileage car. Volatility is always an issue. It's just a part of the environment.

Traders figured out that the odds of the hurricane having a major impact are quite low. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

Traders figured out that the odds of the hurricane having a major impact are quite low.

This is the second week that imports dropped, which makes sense because we are choking on crude. We need another week of drops before I get too worried. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

This is the second week that imports dropped, which makes sense because we are choking on crude. We need another week of drops before I get too worried.

The panic surrounding gasoline is pushing crude higher. The specification issues are starting to permeate the market. The distribution of ethanol is going to be a big problem. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

The panic surrounding gasoline is pushing crude higher. The specification issues are starting to permeate the market. The distribution of ethanol is going to be a big problem.

The big supply declines and colder weather will send us higher. We've probably seen the bottom and will rise from here. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

The big supply declines and colder weather will send us higher. We've probably seen the bottom and will rise from here.

Residual demand is down from a year ago, which may be a sign that natural gas has fallen enough for some consumers to switch back. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

Residual demand is down from a year ago, which may be a sign that natural gas has fallen enough for some consumers to switch back.

There are two important words to keep in mind: snow cover. Once there is snow on the ground it's hard to keep temperatures up. Also, there are no signs of a warm-up on any map I've been looking at. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

There are two important words to keep in mind: snow cover. Once there is snow on the ground it's hard to keep temperatures up. Also, there are no signs of a warm-up on any map I've been looking at.

Mind

It looks like the Indian summer is over. It's getting colder and according to the forecasts it's staying cold. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

It looks like the Indian summer is over. It's getting colder and according to the forecasts it's staying cold.

If we don't get hit with another tropical storm in the Gulf, I think we have a good shot at seeing prices come off their highs. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

If we don't get hit with another tropical storm in the Gulf, I think we have a good shot at seeing prices come off their highs.

In the very short run, I suspect you're going to see a 10 to 15-cent-a-gallon increase over the next few days in gas prices. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

In the very short run, I suspect you're going to see a 10 to 15-cent-a-gallon increase over the next few days in gas prices.

There is plenty of oil in storage. At the same time we are paying a lot of attention to geopolitical events. This combination of factors is a recipe for a market that doesn't do a lot. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

There is plenty of oil in storage. At the same time we are paying a lot of attention to geopolitical events. This combination of factors is a recipe for a market that doesn't do a lot.

It doesn't mean people will stop driving or demand goes down. But demand slows down. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

It doesn't mean people will stop driving or demand goes down. But demand slows down.

No. Not really. Crude (oil) prices will remain pretty strong. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

No. Not really. Crude (oil) prices will remain pretty strong.

As long as you have trending markets, whether they are up or down, commodities are a good place to be. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

As long as you have trending markets, whether they are up or down, commodities are a good place to be.

The drop in crude was a surprise and was a little supportive to prices, but the market was completely overwhelmed by the build in products. It's unusual at this time of year to see distillate fuels rise. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

The drop in crude was a surprise and was a little supportive to prices, but the market was completely overwhelmed by the build in products. It's unusual at this time of year to see distillate fuels rise.

When you got over $3, you did see behavior change. That does seem to be the magic number, $3 to $3.50. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

When you got over $3, you did see behavior change. That does seem to be the magic number, $3 to $3.50.

We're still dealing with trying to guess what the hurricanes' impact was on oil facilities, - Bill O'Grady Quotes

We're still dealing with trying to guess what the hurricanes' impact was on oil facilities,

Iran has figured out that all it has to do is say belligerent things to send prices soaring, they don't have to actually do anything. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

Iran has figured out that all it has to do is say belligerent things to send prices soaring, they don't have to actually do anything.

There was an awfully strong reaction on Friday because if the attack had been successful it would have been a nightmare. Now the security will be even tighter. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

There was an awfully strong reaction on Friday because if the attack had been successful it would have been a nightmare. Now the security will be even tighter.

OPEC's irrelevant insofar that they can't do anything to bring down prices. 'If they had spare capacity they would have already been using it. They become relevant again if prices fall and they decide to cut back on output. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

OPEC's irrelevant insofar that they can't do anything to bring down prices. 'If they had spare capacity they would have already been using it. They become relevant again if prices fall and they decide to cut back on output.

It's in Hashimoto's best interest not to show his cards, ... but others vying for office can be bolder. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

It's in Hashimoto's best interest not to show his cards, ... but others vying for office can be bolder.

Although crude oil inventories remain high relative to recent history, fears of future disruptions are encouraging further inventory increases, which tend to support prices [and] create a positive feedback loop. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

Although crude oil inventories remain high relative to recent history, fears of future disruptions are encouraging further inventory increases, which tend to support prices [and] create a positive feedback loop.

We are just playing catch-up with what London did yesterday. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

We are just playing catch-up with what London did yesterday.

The inventory data clearly helped, but I think there was another factor: It's getting cold. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

The inventory data clearly helped, but I think there was another factor: It's getting cold.

This was a bullish report for petroleum products. Clearly we are seeing a pickup in heating demand, which is having an effect on inventories. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

This was a bullish report for petroleum products. Clearly we are seeing a pickup in heating demand, which is having an effect on inventories.

At some point, too much capacity will be built, and (gasoline) prices will go down again. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

At some point, too much capacity will be built, and (gasoline) prices will go down again.

Normally we base our forecasts on seasonal patterns, now seasonal patterns are disrupted. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

Normally we base our forecasts on seasonal patterns, now seasonal patterns are disrupted.

They have got [parliamentary] elections on Sunday and we just don't know what is going to happen. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

They have got [parliamentary] elections on Sunday and we just don't know what is going to happen.

The government has got to come up with a way in funding itself. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

The government has got to come up with a way in funding itself.

Brazil, to some extent, has seen the abyss. They know devaluation is not a good idea, - Bill O'Grady Quotes

Brazil, to some extent, has seen the abyss. They know devaluation is not a good idea,

This is the worst commodities bear market I've ever experienced, even counting the [downturn in the late 1980s] ... It's not good. It really isn't and it doesn't look like there's any end in sight. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

This is the worst commodities bear market I've ever experienced, even counting the [downturn in the late 1980s] ... It's not good. It really isn't and it doesn't look like there's any end in sight.

You have to have the world start doing better (before commodities prices correct), and the Asian crisis is starting to look a lot like what Latin America went through in the 1980s. It took them almost a decade to get their problems fixed. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

You have to have the world start doing better (before commodities prices correct), and the Asian crisis is starting to look a lot like what Latin America went through in the 1980s. It took them almost a decade to get their problems fixed.

This is an election year and we're already deep into the silly season. The government has to figure out what it wants to do. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

This is an election year and we're already deep into the silly season. The government has to figure out what it wants to do.

If we get an oil embargo, you could conceivably see prices get above $60 per barrel. I don't know where the high would be. It would be panic. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

If we get an oil embargo, you could conceivably see prices get above $60 per barrel. I don't know where the high would be. It would be panic.

It's kind of the first good news that we've had on the economy all week. It's a good number. But the problem with the number is it's really not indicative of the national number. It's the East Coast that's really suffering. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

It's kind of the first good news that we've had on the economy all week. It's a good number. But the problem with the number is it's really not indicative of the national number. It's the East Coast that's really suffering.

It had been the product of concern, and that 4 million build is very large. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

It had been the product of concern, and that 4 million build is very large.

If we get through the next 24 hours without another attack and Hurricane Dennis weakens, then we should see this market recover. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

If we get through the next 24 hours without another attack and Hurricane Dennis weakens, then we should see this market recover.

At this time of year it is all about the weather. This is a respite, but it won't last. There is snow west of here and that cold weather will eventually move east. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

At this time of year it is all about the weather. This is a respite, but it won't last. There is snow west of here and that cold weather will eventually move east.

Not every hurricane is an Andrew or an Ivan. The prospect of it becoming an incredibly destructive storm was being built into the price. This doesn't look like it will be another Ivan even if it strengthens. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

Not every hurricane is an Andrew or an Ivan. The prospect of it becoming an incredibly destructive storm was being built into the price. This doesn't look like it will be another Ivan even if it strengthens.

Natural gas is the real worry. Unfortunately we can't import the missing production. This is largely a domestic market. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

Natural gas is the real worry. Unfortunately we can't import the missing production. This is largely a domestic market.

Worry

U.S. prices are sending a signal to every refinery in the world. Gasoline imports are going to surge in the weeks ahead. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

U.S. prices are sending a signal to every refinery in the world. Gasoline imports are going to surge in the weeks ahead.

It comes down to how well refineries recovered from storm damage and how fast imports have grown. I am looking for an increase in refinery utilization but it should only be limited. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

It comes down to how well refineries recovered from storm damage and how fast imports have grown. I am looking for an increase in refinery utilization but it should only be limited.

We may be at the early stages of realizing that it is not being caused by the evil oil companies but that we do have a real energy crisis. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

We may be at the early stages of realizing that it is not being caused by the evil oil companies but that we do have a real energy crisis.

Evil

This is a time of year when you often see prices fall because of weaker demand. Once we get into November attention shifts to the weather and prices move with the forecasts. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

This is a time of year when you often see prices fall because of weaker demand. Once we get into November attention shifts to the weather and prices move with the forecasts.

A lot of this has to do with Monica. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

A lot of this has to do with Monica.

The storm has moved over Florida, so we know for sure that it's not going to damage any energy facilities. The weather is still mild so heating demand has yet to pick up. The primary trend is still lower. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

The storm has moved over Florida, so we know for sure that it's not going to damage any energy facilities. The weather is still mild so heating demand has yet to pick up. The primary trend is still lower.

It will be hard for the product prices to continue falling if the refineries don't begin to come on line quicker. We are seeing a lot of imports and if the weather is warm we may dodge the bullet anyway. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

It will be hard for the product prices to continue falling if the refineries don't begin to come on line quicker. We are seeing a lot of imports and if the weather is warm we may dodge the bullet anyway.

It all comes down to the weather. Mild weather is keeping a lid on prices. When we finally get cold weather we may see things turn around. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

It all comes down to the weather. Mild weather is keeping a lid on prices. When we finally get cold weather we may see things turn around.

It's cold enough to make a difference. Early cold snaps are more important than later cold. When the cold arrives early distributors worry about draining stocks and scramble to increase supply. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

It's cold enough to make a difference. Early cold snaps are more important than later cold. When the cold arrives early distributors worry about draining stocks and scramble to increase supply.

Natural gas production is still constrained as a result of the hurricanes. Refinery capacity is constrained for the same reason. Europe has been cold as well, which could limit heating oil imports. - Bill O'Grady Quotes

Natural gas production is still constrained as a result of the hurricanes. Refinery capacity is constrained for the same reason. Europe has been cold as well, which could limit heating oil imports.

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